European United Left-Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL) is the group that seems to be taking the biggest hit. It is down by 0.7 points to 7.5 percent. Here are some of the national parties belonging to GUE/NGL that are particularly losing ground:

• Podemos (Spain): -3.7 points to 12.4 percent
• Levica (Slovenia): -1.2 points to 8.5 percent
• La France insoumise (France): -1.2 points to 8.6 percent

Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD) and the European People’s Party (EPP) are also down in the latest polls by 0.7 and 0.2 points.

The EP group with the biggest increase across the continent is the social democratic S&D. The national parties of this group are collectively up by 0.4 points. These are the national parties of S&D that have made the largest gains:

• Partido Socialista Obrero Español – PSOE (Spain): +3 points to 26.8 percent
• Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – SPD (Germany): +1.9 points to 17.0 percent
• Socialdemokraterne (Denmark): +1.4 points to 27.2 percent

Parties that are currently not in the European Parliament and are yet to choose an EP group, are also gaining support, now sitting at 8.1 percent across the union.

Polling support for EU parliament groups at the end of February

One of the big trends observers expect to see in the 2019 elections is the rise of populist, nationalist and eurosceptic parties. The three EP groups that can be said to partly or completely fall under this umbrella (ENF, EFDD and ECR) currently poll at 21.7 percent, compared to 9.5 percent in the previous election. Note that Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF) was launched in 2015.

Results in 2014 European elections